Rural America carried President Donald Trump to his election night upset last November.

‘Trump Country’ it may be, but rural counties and small towns also make up ‘Medicaid Country’ — those parts of the United States whose low-income children and families are most dependent on the federal-state health insurance program, according to a report released 7 June.

Medicaid’s enrollment has swollen to more than 72 million in recent years, and the ranks of uninsured Americans has fallen to 9 percent in 2015 from 13 percent in 2013. That’s largely due to the Affordable Care Act (ACA), which allowed states to expand Medicaid eligibility with federal funds. A total of 31 states plus the District of Columbia did so.

Those gains may be in jeopardy under a Republican- and White House-backed healthcare measure called the American Health Care Act that would replace major parts of the ACA — known as Obamacare — and dramatically cut federal funding for Medicaid. The House passed the bill in May.

“There is no doubt that children and families in small towns would be disproportionately harmed by cuts to Medicaid,” says Joan Alker, executive director of the Georgetown University Center for Children and Families.

According to the center’s new report, Medicaid covered 45 percent of children and 16 percent of adults in small towns and rural areas in 2015. Those figures are lower in metropolitan areas — 38 percent of children and 15 percent of adults.

Rural areas have larger Medicaid populations because more people with disabilities live there, household incomes tend to be lower, unemployment rates higher and jobs with employer-paid insurance less common, according to the Georgetown report.

Care cap:

In states that expanded Medicaid under Obamacare, the rate of uninsured people in small towns and rural areas fell by 11 percentage points between 2008-09 and 2014-15 — from 22 percent to 11 percent, according to the report. That was slightly larger than the decrease in metro areas of expansion states.

If the House-passed bill became law, Medicaid would be cut by more than $800 billion over 10 years. Alker says that would lead to higher uninsured rates and reduce Americans’ access to healthcare.

The Republican-controlled Senate is expected to circulate a preliminary proposal of their repeal-and-replace legislation to members as early as this week. Compared with House members, senators are typically more sensitive to issues facing rural Americans because they represent entire states rather than districts often dominated by urban areas.

Steven Powe, a Medicaid recipient from Washington, D.C., fears losing Medicaid benefits under the GOP’s Obamacare replacement, the American Health Care Act.

Phil Galewitz / Kaiser Health News

With the Senate edging closer to creating its own bill, disability and health advocates and Medicaid enrollees on 6 June held “Don’t Cap My Care” rallies in nine cities, imploring Congress to reject efforts to cut Medicaid funding.

About 400 people gathered outside the U.S. Capitol in Washington, D.C. — blind, disabled, elderly people among them — with many holding signs reading “Don’t Mess With Medicaid” and “No Cuts, No Caps to Medicaid.”

Ten million people with disabilities rely on Medicaid to help them live, work, attend school and participate in their communities.

Frustrating and scary:

Cindy Jennings, 53, of Lititz, Pennsylvania, who attended the Washington rally, says she fears the loss of Medicaid coverage under the Republican plan or reduced coverage for her son, Matthew. He is disabled and unable to speak because he was born with a chromosome abnormality.

“It’s frustrating and scary,” she says. “I need to stay healthy to care for him.”

Erickia Bartee, 31, of Owings Mills, Maryland, says Medicaid enables her to live in a group home and get drugs and other health services to live with cerebral palsy. “I will struggle to survive if my Medicaid benefits are cut,” she says.

Other findings from the report:

Thirteen states have at least 20 percent of adults in rural areas enrolled in Medicaid. Arizona leads the nation with 34 percent in the program.

Rural Oregon saw the biggest gain in adults with insurance over the study’s period. Its uninsurance rate dropped 19 percentage points, whereas adults in the state covered by Medicaid increased 17 percentage points.

In 14 states, more than half of children in rural areas are covered by Medicaid. Of those, Arkansas and Mississippi are the only states with 60 percent or more of children in rural areas on Medicaid.

The report defined America’s rural areas and small towns as non-metropolitan counties whose main urban areas have no more than 50,000 people.

This story originally appeared on Kaiser Health News. It has been slightly modified to reflect Spectrum’s style.

The post Republican cuts to Medicaid would hit rural America hardest appeared first on Spectrum | Autism Research News.